KLM Open betting preview
David John previews this week’s KLM Open in Holland and is putting his faith in Aussie Richard Green.
Aussie Richard Green is not everyone’s cup of tea to follow from a punting perspective as he invariably finds a way to get himself beaten but he looks to have plenty going for him in this week’s KLM Open in Holland.
Speaking after his opening round of 64 at Loch Lomond last month, Green admitted that it was nerves that were a factor as he tried to end a winless spell stretching back to the Austrian Open in 2007.
“I haven’t handled the pressure quite as well as I would have liked to,” admitted the 38 year old from Melbourne.
“But the more I put myself there the more and more I feel like I can do it.”
His form has dipped a little since those words with a missed cut at the Open and then a T60 at the USPGA (where, to be fair, Green had nothing worse than a bogey in all four rounds).
This is a big drop in class against a pretty mediocre line-up so if Green is ever going to seize his chance this season, it may will come in an event where he is not taken too far out of his comfort zone.
He has some decent memories from Kennemer too having finished 62-65 back in 2006 on the way to second place and to be perfectly honest I thought he would have been a shorter price than the 25/1 readily available.
He is worth an interest for sure to make an big impact.
Lee Slattery has been ticking over quite nicely of late and he also merits support at 45/1.
A bit of a break from golf in the Lake District seems to have refreshed the man from Southport as his results in two events since in Sweden and the Czech Republic read T4-T11.
His effort in Sweden could perhaps be considered a fraction disappointing as he was right in the firing line but could not get anything going in a final round of 76.
But the former crack Challenge Tour ace has shown enough to suggest he is not far away from a win and like Green, returns to a venue where he has done very well – since 2006 his form figures read T14-T27-T4.
This field is certainly no better than the one he faced in Sweden where he made the frame so he should have no qualms about getting competitive once again.
I am tempted keep the faith and throw Jamie Donaldson in again at 33/1.
He did us a nice turn in Sweden at 80/1 with his second place in the SAS Masters and we could well have been heralding a winner if he had not bumped into a Ricardo Gonzalez in inspired form in the final round.
Donaldson seems to thrive in blustery conditions as his two best finishes in 2009 have both been when the wind has blown – he was also placed at Estoril back in April.
He felt he did nothing wrong in Sweden and will surely be optimistic of his chances if reproducing that form.
He was perhaps a bit over the top in the Czech Republic the following week but a couple of weeks to recharge should see him raring to go once again.
His price is not giving a great deal away but I like his claims in terms of this event.
Gareth Maybin is a sure-fire future winner and will have learnt a great deal over the closing holes of the Moravia Silesia Open, where he twice found water when in a winning position.
He swings the club magnificently and his time will come but I would just take a watching brief this week at 28/1.
So a final pick goes to Kenny Ferrie, who has hinted a return to former glories over the past six weeks.
He notched creditable finishes in France and at Loch Lomond while a bout of stomach trouble did for him in Sweden and saw him withdraw during the second round.
He missed the cut in the Czech Republic but admitted on his very good website that he had played well and his two over total was about as bad as it could have been.
He admits he is not a fan of the great, long courses that seem to be the norm these days and at just over 6,600 yards Ferrie should have the chance to shine.
He can go well at 125/1.
2pts e.w. Richard Green at 25/1 (1/4 1,2,3,4,5 Paddy Power, Sky Bet). Has admitted nerves have held him back but big chance in this lesser grade.
1pt e.w. Lee Slattery at 45/1 (1/4 1,2,3,4,5 Boylesports). Getting nearer to a first win and could thrive again on this course.
1pt e.w. Jamie Donaldson at 33/1 (1/4 1,2,3,4,5 general). Did little wrong in Sweden and worth following again.
1pt e.w. Kenny Ferrie at 125/1 (1/4 1,2,3,4,5 Betfred). Signs of a return to some form and this venue should suit well
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